February 23, 2012

The Kardashian Effect: A Social Media Conundrum

kardashianWhat is the value of a Facebook “Friend?” What is the value of a Facebook “Like?” What is the value of a Twitter “Follower?” How do you calculate the ROI? What is the value of a fan engagement? How do you quantify time spent on your site, with your profile or on your fan page?

These questions are “Topic A” at almost every meeting I attend these days. Everyone knows you need to be doing something in social media, but it is increasingly hard to quantify its value.

As most of you know, I have a technology, media & entertainment business advisory practice, and I do a bunch of traditional and social media outreach. If you “like” me on Facebook, you will be one of 6,500ish fans who interact with me on a daily basis. If you follow me on Twitter, you are one of about 6,100 followers who I also interact with on a daily basis. On any given day, I post stories and links to things I find interesting. And, on any given day, a handful of people will post a comment or just press “like” on a post that resonates with them.

This social interaction is awesome. It keeps me in-touch with my most loyal brand ambassadors. It gives me instant feedback (both positive and negative) about the things I’m doing. And, most importantly, it gives me a way to learn about, and interact with, the people who are interested in the things that interest me. It’s win/win.

But wait! I’m supposed to be a social media “expert.” Social media is a huge focus of my consulting practice. How come I don’t have a zillion fans and two zillion followers? What’s wrong with me?

Actually … nothing. I’m doing just fine with the fans (“likes”) and followers I have. My fans and followers are growing organically each day, and it’s a great group of people.

That said, if I wanted a zillion fans and two zillion followers, I could obtain them in about a week. But I don’t really want them and neither do you.

To prove this theory, I decided to test the Kardashian Effect. It’s a term I use to describe the throngs of useless fans and followers that can be obtained by confusing the “famous for being famous” with actual people. Anyone who wants a zillion fans and two zillion followers need only look at the trending topics and create a well SEO’d, well SEM’d social and online presence focusing purely on them. The results are instant and obvious. You will get a ton of traffic. There’s only one problem – you won’t be able to keep it unless you do it everyday forever. If you’re not offering them the best place to get a full dose of the thing they crave (which is the hottest thing available) they won’t stay and they won’t be back.

On top of that, you must commit to finding ways to translate the value of transient Kardashianites into wealth. (Your wealth, not hers). Think this is easy? Think again. It’s very easy to create value online, but creating wealth (especially your wealth) is exceptionally hard.

Anyway, the test was simple. A friend of mine sent me this picture of Kim the other day. It is obviously “fun with Photoshop.” It is credited to twitter.com/kelkulus from Los Angeles, CA. His description says: “Just in case this comedian thing doesn’t work out, I’m also studying to be a rockstar.” I don’t know @kelkulus, but I thought the image was pretty funny, so to prove the Kardashian Effect is real, I posted it on my Facebook wall and put it out on Twitter via my Yfrog account.

The results were instant and obvious. The highest number of likes, highest number of comments and highest engagement metrics of anything I’ve posted in 2011. People love to hate her, people think she’s a scam artist, people think she’s a genius – the nature of the responses are not important, what is important is that people responded – like crazy.

What does that mean for my business (or yours)? If I want tons of transient traffic and useless interactions, I can post more stuff about Kim or Lindsey Lohan or (substitute your tabloid star here) and put huge, but ultimately useless, metrics on the scoreboard. Or, I can just do what I do and continue to interact and profit from my loyal fans and followers.

The lure of the Kardashian Effect is overwhelming. I really want zillions of fans and two zillions of followers … but I also want to be respected for my work, keep my brand message clear and understandable and profit from my marketing efforts. What to do, what to do?

I know, I’ll trick my advertisers with these inflated numbers and make them think that my social media efforts are stellar. Oh wait, I don’t sell any advertising … hummm.

All kidding aside, the Kardashian Effect is real. Kim is a genius and we are all drinking the social media metrics Kool-Aid. Qualitative understanding of social interactions is key to unlocking their value. The goal is the target, not raw tonnage. And, most importantly, quality organic social touch points should never be sacrificed for scale – you can never sustainably profit from that kind of Pyrrhic victory.

In closing, I just want to say, Kim … your marketing machine is simply awe-inspiring. You can send my commission check for this post at your earliest convenience. I can’t believe that I’m actually getting you more well SEO’d, SEM’d coverage without accretive value. Oops! I forgot, this will be one of my most read columns ever. Thanks Kim!

On a Personal Note: Remembering Steve Jobs

Steve Jobs

Steve Jobs

I am profoundly saddened by Steve Jobs passing. His vision and unique ability to execute changed the world many times over. Some people say that no one ever truly dies until they are forgotten. I believe that this is true. If it is, Steve will live in the hearts and minds of all of loved and respected him forever.

Steve has been in the new quite a bit these past few days – fitting tributes to a life well lived. I received this email from my friend Bob Lambert, the CEO of LA-based the digital firm, who served for 25 years served as chief technical strategist for The Walt Disney Company and Disney Studios. I was so taken with this writing; I asked Bob if I could share it with you. I don’t think I could say it any better.

Friends,

Oceans of ink will be written about Steve Jobs passing this week, but I wanted to add my own voice and personal comment to this.

I’m saddened by the loss of a brilliant man before it was time for him to go. It was one of the greatest honors of my career to have crossed paths with him serendipitously so many times along the way.

Steve was more Galileo than Edison. His ideas and persistence and vision changed the way we see the world, literally and figuratively.  And, like Galileo’s world, there were both personal and professional bumps in the road, success and tragedy.

Really good technology does not revolve around clever engineers and fast processors; instead, it orbits most successfully around people, and the ability to connect us in simple ways with tools for our everyday lives and our imaginations.

It is with thoughtful, human-centric design that we escape the bounds of overly complicated stuff, bypass frustration, and instead learn, teach, have fun, and connect with people, music, and art in new and inspiring ways. It’s exactly that kind of ideation and innovation, that lets the human spirit soar, and new businesses blossom.

Inventors and entrepreneurs like Steve teach us that a clever idea CAN change the world…or at least a portion of it that we learn to carry in our pocket every day.

I first bumped into Steve at Apple, before the Sculley and Amelio years. At the time, I didn’t “get” the Apple thing. It seemed a loyal band of semi-rabid followers, like the early advocates of Amiga Computers.  We all have a chance to be wrong.

In the late 1980s, Steve came to Disney to evangelize – and that is exactly the right word – NeXT Computers. As the senior-most technology exec at Disney Studios, I set up a meeting with then Disney chiefs Frank Wells, Michael Eisner, and Jeffrey Katzenberg. I watched my career do a perceived-unravel in a small conference room while Steve pounded them with verve combined with vitriol; extolling the virtues of the sleek black cube called NeXT, saying it was simply “idiotic” if people didn’t get the significance.

NeXT was, indeed, packed with a dictionary, business tools, graphics tools, a cool interface, even an encyclopedia – nearly twenty years before anyone heard of “Wikipedia.” Our execs were nonplussed, and America wasn’t quite ready for it, either. Steve only ran NeXT for a couple of years before moving on, though they did make a big sale to a major film producer’s on-lot production division, who found the sleek black cubes fit in nicely with the all-black Hollywood office decor.

Even back then, Steve saw a concept none of the rest of us would visualize until decades later: technology as fashion. You buy your next phone not because it’s packed with new features, but because it’s stylishly new and hip and au courant.

I connected with Steve again years later, when he stepped in to write a big check to re-fund Pixar. In 1986, just as Pixar’s fortunes as a hardware maker (PIC-1 image computers) were dwindling, and years before they set their first film production deal with Disney, Steve saw an opportunity. Just as Disney was about to close a multi-year software development deal with Pixar, Steve become Pixar’s largest investor. The first week of October 1986 – 25 years ago this week – Disney and Pixar signed their first business deal, with Steve’s explicit head-nod to partner with Disney in a new field that would only a few years later garner the two companies an Academy Sci-Tech Award – and, a few years after that, launch a string of some of the most successful and beloved movies of all time.

As poetic justice would have it, almost exactly 20 years after Steve helped enable Pixar’s first efforts, Disney would purchase animation’s new king in a $7.4 billion deal, making Steve the largest single shareholder of the Mouse House, and seating him as a wonderful new one-man brain-trust among Disney’s revamped board of directors. He would soon become one of Disney’s (and the entire media industry’s) most valuable advisors on pioneering new ideas in content, technology, business models, and consumer demand.

He was exhaustingly brilliant in his tireless advocacy of doing the right thing, and took the long view of what consumers, not engineers, really want to do with technology – quite simply, to make lives and careers simpler, easier, and more fun.

I will not be the most eloquent of the people who have something insightful to say about Steve Jobs this week. But, I can say from the heart that he was, and is, an American original; an inventor and marketeer extraordinaire – a little bit Edison, a little bit Tesla, and a dash of P.T. Barnum – all rolled into his own unique style of denim and black turtleneck.

When you see something inventive this week, celebrate it. There’s a little of that Jobs spirit in all of us, insisting there’s always a better way to do things.

Tip your hat to the folks in your world who help make that happen.

Bob Lambert

Lambert is CEO of LA-based the digital firm, and for 25 years served as chief technical strategist for The Walt Disney Company and Disney Studios.

Steve Jobs 1955-2011

Steve Jobs

Steve Jobs

I am profoundly saddened by Steve Jobs passing. His vision and unique ability to execute changed the world many times over. Some people say that no one ever truly dies until they are forgotten. I believe that this is true. If it is, Steve will live in the hearts and minds of all of loved and respected him forever.

Steve, We’re Thinking About You!

steve-jobsI’ve never worked at Apple and I’ve never met Steve Jobs (other than a driveby handshake at some Apple events), but I’ve been repeatedly asked to comment about what Steve Jobs retirement will mean to Apple and the media business over the past few days.  I have asked every reporter the same question: “Steve Jobs, a man who has changed the world several times during his career, is stepping down from a job he loves because he feels he is too sick to continue doing it well … why don’t you just send him positive thoughts (and prayers, if you pray) and concentrate on all of the wonderful things he has accomplished and all of the ways he has added meaning to literally millions of lives?”

Everyone takes pause, then says something like, “Well, of course, I wish him well … but now that he’s out, will my iPhone play Flash files?” or “Yeah, yeah … what will this mean for movie and content pricing at the iTunes store?”

Sometimes, I’m embarrassed to be part of the modern media business.  It has truly devolved into a shallow, dehumanized troth of sensationalist FUD-mongers.

First and foremost, I am profoundly saddened by the state of Steve Jobs’s health.  I hope that he is comforted by his family and friends and wish him all the best.

What’s going to happen to Apple?  Ask me some other time.  Right now I want to concentrate on what I consider Steve’s most extraordinary accomplishment – in a career marked by extraordinary accomplishments. I call it the “Steve Jobs’s/Tom Sawyer Paint The Fence Paradigm.”

Every modern manufacturer makes use of the division of labor and uses some version of an assembly line to accomplish peak performance.  Apple uses manufacturing lines based upon the principles realized more than a century ago by Henry Ford. Circa 1908-1915, The Ford Motor Company created a practical assembly line and demonstrated to the world how progressive assembly with interchangeable parts was “the” way to manufacture at scale.

In the 21st Century, circa 2003-2011, Steve Jobs created a practical platform that enabled third parties to add value to the Apple brand and its products by aligning everyone’s economic interests.

Enlisting an army of brand ambassadors, artists, artisans, technicians, engineers and ordinary tinkerers to build your brand has always been a conceptual goal – Steve just executed it perfectly and has set the gold standard.  This “paint the fence” paradigm of value-added partnerships over an end-to-end technology platform has truly changed everything.

I cannot remember a meeting where iTunes, the App Store or simply the Apple iOS platform has not been mentioned as the thing to emulate or the thing to beat.  Apple is so far out in front with this idea; they will be hard to catch.

Steve created a culture and a methodology of doing business that is worthy of being emulated and simply defines how to bridge the gap between the digital and physical world.

There are hundreds of anecdotes and stories about Steve’s accomplishments.  Accolades are due for so many of the things we now take for granted.  But his future-thinking business methods, and brilliant execution is uniquely impressive.

I’m typing this on my 17” MacBook Pro.  I stopped to take a call on my iPhone 4 and as I look around my office at my dual 30” Mac monitors, MacPro Desktop, iPads, iPods, iPod Touches, Airport and Apple TV, I just want to say, thanks Steve – we’re all thinking about you.

Big Brother Is Listening Too

Copyright

Copyright

According to the Center for Copyright Information fact sheet: “In 2011 the Center for Copyright Information will be formally opened. This newly formed Center will help educate consumers about content theft on the Internet. It will help them to understand the difference between lawful and unlawful online downloading and file sharing.

How does it work? If a filter catches you uploading or downloading a file that you do not have rights to, the system sends you a warning. There are a series of six alerts that start from a simple warning and end up with some arbitrary punishments that are, well … here … read it for yourself.

Before I start ranting about this, let me state my position on the law. I think that enforcing our copyright laws is a very good thing and I believe that people who violate the current copyright statutes are criminals that should be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. Please read the preceding statement carefully. I do not believe that our copyright laws are adequate for our time; I simply believe that until the laws are changed, we have to abide by them.

That said, the new Center for Copyright Information is on a path that will probably lead to its own destruction.

From the ISP’s perspective – it’s great to say you’ll support the initiative. Pay it lip service and wait for all of your competitors to make their customers mad enough to switch to your network.

From the customer perspective – this is really, really creepy. We know that Big Brother is watching, but now he is listening too? If you can tell what I am uploading and downloading, how long will it be until someone tries to regulate it? This is a very slippery slope indeed.

From the technical perspective – what happens when someone spoofs my WiFi router and does all of their illegal filesharing through my unprotected home network?

From a business perspective – Do I really want to wage another war with my customers?

This new Center is supposed to be about education. They probably have it right – the industry is about to get “schooled.”

Public Broadcasting Needs Three More Years

PBS

The Leadership is about to vote to end Government funding for Public Broadcasting. As it is currently proposed, it’s an all or nothing deal. My social network of professional Washington watchers says it’s a coin toss. I guess we’ll know soon enough.

Rather than make this a conversation about content or political points of view, let’s look at the state of global one-to-many communication and think about how technology might serve Public Broadcasting.

I have listened (and been drawn into) many cocktail conversations debating whether or not Public Broadcasting should be an Internet-only service. It’s a favorite subject of people who have a specific political point of view. Up till very recently, this argument was pointless and moot. Today, it needs to be discussed – but in a slightly different way.

Public Broadcasting needs three more years of government funding. Within three years, Interned-connected television sets will reach a critical mass in households that make up (demographically speaking) the vast majority of the Public Broadcasting audience. Creating a functional “best available screen” Public Broadcasting experience will take about the same three years. It will also take about three years for all of the PBS “lifers” to be replaced with younger, smarter, more ambitious, more technically open-minded employees. It will also take about three years to create a new business model that will allow non-profit and not-for-profit content distribution companies to thrive in the 21st century.

Three more years of funding for Public Broadcasting is a rounding error to the Federal Budget, but it is an extension that will mean the difference between life and death for this wonderful 20th century media experiment.

Would an online, broadband, app-centric, wireless, wired, fixed wireless, over-the-top, IPTV, Internet-Television, 4G, WiMax, Digital Tier ATSC, MSO Public Channel, LPTV, Web, Blog, Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, Social Media-ized version of Public Broadcasting work? If it can’t – then the content and the concept is not worthy of survival.

But here’s the thing – this can’t happen overnight! You could argue that Public Broadcasting should have seen this coming and should have been getting ready to enter a new world of profitable online content distribution – but they didn’t. They (like every other broadcaster) have stuck to the “big money” model and let every other form of distribution be a “nice to have.” If there is a reason for Public Broadcasting to exist – then we need to give it three years to solve a 21st century problem with a 21st century solution.

Why three years? It’s an arbitrary number, but – if you calculate the rate of consumer adoption of hardware, the speed with which 4G wireless networks are being deployed, the power of the new consumer electronics devices (from TVs to Handhelds) and the new consumer media consumption paradigm: People are taking their TVs with them – three years sounds about right.

Thirty-six months from now there will be over 50 million Internet-connected TVs in the United States alone. We will have a robust 4G network. Anyone who wants a tablet computer (iPad, Xoom, Galaxy Tab, etc.) will have one. And, most importantly, there will only be two kinds of people and two kinds of devices on earth: Connected and Not Connected.

In a world where everyone Public Broadcasting needs to reach is connected – Public Broadcasting should be able to thrive without government funding. The content will find an audience and … a business model always follows an audience.

Should the new face of Public Broadcasting be broadcast TV-centric? Probably not. A highly educated, highly mobile audience no longer watches appointment television. They don’t have to. Since Public Broadcasting offers almost no emergent content (except for news), there is no reason to rely so heavily on linear programming. Even current cable PPV models would be suitable, if the content can find an audience.

Lastly, over a three-year period, Public Broadcasting will be able to lean on potential sponsors for underwriting. And that’s probably what it will do. I don’t expect Public Broadcasting to wake up and join the 21st century. I do expect that if we were to extend Public Broadcasting’s funding for three years, it would use that time to find a way to pay for itself.

While I agree that the $400ish million dollars of taxpayer money might be put to better use right now, Washington has a proven track record of wasting money on all kinds of less important stuff. And, while I also agree that the Public Broadcasting is badly broken and severely out-of-date, I believe that it is important enough to be given a fighting chance. Whether you agree with me or not, please contact your elected officials and let them know how you feel. This is “our” Public Broadcasting system and we should make sure that the Leadership hears what we have to say. Shelly Palmer

    International CES 2011: What We Didn’t See

    International CES 2011 is in the history books and it was a wonderful show. Over 135,000 attendees, over 20,000 new product announcements, over 1.6 million square feet of exhibit space — it was a non-stop tech festival that truly has no equal anywhere on Earth.

    Samsung, Sony, Sharp, Toshiba, Mitsubishi, Panasonic, Vizio, Joe, Sally, Tom, Dick and Harry all had impressive displays of Internet-connected Televisions. If you were thinking of “cutting the cord,” this was your show. Every manufacturer displayed their own version of a world where all you need is an Ethernet cable and an ISP.

    I was also extremely impressed by the array of tablet computers — each ready to climb the formidable hill created by Apple and topple the iPad from its perch. And, for each tablet, there were a dozen smartphones and mobile devices that promised to reduce Apple’s dominance and offer a better version of connected living.

    But for all of the technology on display, the most impressive part of CES was what I didn’t see — consumer aspiration. It was simply missing. Everywhere you looked you could find new technological solutions — but where were the problems?

    The goal of the “cord-cutters” (people who wish to find an alternative to expensive cable television service) is to save money. How do a bunch of pay services like Netflix, Hulu Plus, MLB, etc. save you money? You’ll actually spend more on premium content — assuming that you can even get the sports packages you seek from online distributors.

    Microsoft offered a seamless experience from desktop to handheld to laptop to gaming console to television. I play games on my Xbox and I’m sure to enjoy versions of those games on my Window Phone 7, but do I need Sharepoint or Word or Excel on my TV? The reason most people carry two phones isn’t because they want to. They carry two handhelds because, if one is issued by the company they work for, 100 percent of the content and data that passes through the company device is owned by the company. The second mobile device is for personal use. How does a seamless experience between all of your personal, business and home screens match the reality of that work/life scenario? How does it work in a household with more than one member — who gets the remote? Which computers get to sync with which devices through which cloud account?

    I don’t mean to pick on Microsoft. Real problems that real consumers have in their connected worlds were absent almost everywhere. Instead what we saw were screens full of widgets and apps that offered a glimpse of a possible connected future, but no process for making it a reality. Most of the Internet-Connected TVs on display were metaphoric “concept cars,” exciting to look at, but far from street-ready.

    In and of itself, there’s nothing wrong with engineers inventing solutions for non-existent problems. In fact, I love looking at the newest, fastest, coolest, most remarkable tech. That’s one of the big reasons to attend CES.

    That said, I think it’s important to remind ourselves that content distribution, content creation, advertiser sales, advertising spend, Internet service providers, multi-system operators, telephone companies, the FCC, the Congress and consumers all have extremely divergent agendas.

    When I looked at the real estate on the home screen of an Internet connected television, I didn’t see the new Office of Privacy Policy, nor did I see the upcoming Net Neutrality rules, nor any reference to existing cable carriage contracts on display. Most people weren’t looking for them, so they weren’t missed. But without deals being made that satisfy the needs of all of the above, those screens are just artwork.

    The aspirations of consumer electronics manufacturers are laudable. They want to increase margins by adding service layers to their hardware. But I didn’t see any kind of council or consortium to bring a comprehensive solution to the content distributors or advertisers.

    While discussing things I didn’t see at CES with my friend, Jeremy Rosenberg, at Music Choice, he observed that he didn’t see any note from CES or coverage by anyone that touched upon the wave of tablets likely pushing back the number of TVs per home.

    He recalled that, at last glance, the average numbers of TV per home had risen to 2.5 and was still rising. His question, “Will this reverse as tablets roll out and TV Everywhere and Adaptive Streaming rise to meet them?” One of the big drivers of tertiary TV sets is folks like us who may indulge our children and/or ourselves with TV sets for viewing audiences of one in a kid’s room or a viewing audience of one at a home office desk … it will be easy to just let tablets handle that. Will there actually be less TV sets per household?

    All in, I thought International CES 2011 was a great show and I am sure we are going to love all the new toys that come out over the next few months. My advice … just keep looking for the stuff that’s not on display. Shelly Palmer


      President Obama’s Plan to Destroy Advertising, Marketing, the Internet and All Other Forms of Digital Life

      President Obama

      President Obama

      The Obama administration has called for the creation of a Privacy Policy Office to assist in developing an Internet “privacy bill of rights.” The U.S. Commerce Department’s report stopped short of asking directly for privacy legislation. But it is recommending a “framework” to protect people from data collectors.

      Just the name of this new office, “Privacy Policy Office,” should be enough to scare any future-thinking marketer half to death. And sadly, there is no reason to be optimistic about what this office might recommend or how the Leadership will respond.

      After all, under what circumstances would you think it was OK to be watched? The answer for everyone is going to be, “There are NO circumstances where I would be willing to be watched.” And, if there is a circumstance under which you might agree to be watched, the data collected from whatever behaviors you exhibit will be useless – because people behave differently when they know they are being watched.

      And that’s just speaking about real-time/online data. If you were asked, you probably would not agree to have your financial or medical data collected and aggregated. When a credit-reporting agency creates a profile based upon your bill-paying habits, it is really of no benefit to you. You might argue that “good” citizens could be separated from “bad” citizens if such data were to be analyzed … but the reality is that any minor mistake with the handling of that data will almost always inure to your detriment. So why allow it to be used at all. Your data is yours … it is much easier just to say, “no thank you … I prefer my privacy, please.”

      Now, the data that online advertising and marketing folks like to aggregate and analyze are data that illustrate how you behave and interact with your connected world: what you watch, what you click, what you don’t click, where you are, who or what you are near, etc. If asked, who, in their right mind, would agree to be watched? I wouldn’t. And, I know it’s perfectly safe … or is it?

      Cisco’s Retriever software sits inside of every Scientific Atlanta and Cisco set-top box in the United States. It knows exactly what channel the box is tuned to and for how long. Yes, Cisco (more accurately, your cable television provider) “knows” exactly what you watch. They know it in a way that Nielsen Media Research never will. They know what “you” personally watch. Not people like you, not households, not demographics … you!

      If you are watching soft-core porn on Cinemax at 2:00am as opposed to Ice Road Truckers or something on NatGeo … they know. If you have pix-in-pix going with Showtime and Science Channel at the same time … they know.

      If you click on an American Express ad on a Turner non-news site, like NASCAR.com and then visit another Turner site like PGA.com, they will show you a follow-up ad. Why? Because … they know.

      If you send a Gmail to a friend about fly fishing, then search a few sites on the same subject … they really know!

      Who are “they?” At the moment, “they” are a bunch of extremely large log files with aggregated data of millions and millions of users that are parsed by software attempting to figure out how to serve you the most relevant advertising and content. This actually does have a benefit for you and for the businesses that are aggregating the data. You get computer help sorting out the overwhelming amount of information that is available in the Information Age and the businesses get computer help sorting out how to allocate their advertising dollars.

      Additionally, you get the benefit of seeing the kind of content that you are most likely to enjoy.

      The Administration, the Leadership and every ambitious politician will tell you that all of this comes at a terrible cost. Although, no one can give even one concrete example of how using data to drive relevant content to a consumer has ever hurt anyone in any way. But, why confuse this issue with facts. It’s much easier to spread FUD (Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt)!

      If you truly spy on people, you will get accurate data. After all, if you don’t know you are being watched, you just do life as it actually happens. On the other hand, if you tell people that they are being “watched,” which is not exactly accurate, but is a great shorthand way to scare the hell out of everyone — they will “act” for whoever is watching. This renders the data all but useless.

      “They.” Who ever “they” are? “Watched.” I wonder who is “watching?” These are terribly scary, unfortunate terms that everyone is going to interpret as evil.

      The war on data-driven creative and advertising has started. Because this is a complex issue, it is being thrown into the same bucket with the data collectors who want to inform insurance companies that you have a genetic defect and should render you uninsureable.

      Because this issue is so complex and, because privacy is such an emotional subject, there is a real danger that the data needs of the advertising and marketing industry will get caught in the crossfire. In fact, there is a real possibility that it will become a target in-and-of itself.

      This is a real emergency! It is time for the advertising and marketing business to start to advertise and market itself. The brand brief is simple: Make data-driven content acceptable to the American people and make the politicians look stupid for trying to scare everyone about Big Brother when they should be concentrating on securing our actual privacy. If we don’t get this one right, the data-driven advertising business probably has less than a year to live. Let’s get it right! Shelly Palmer


        The Information Super Toll Road: An Intended Consequence of Net Neutrality

        What is Net Neutrality? The best definition available is in the sidebar. However, the specifics of the Net Neutrality fight, and the proposed guidelines (which will soon become rules) are all a smoke screen. Let’s talk about how the future is likely to unfold if a reasonable agreement is not reached.

        There’s an ongoing battle between Level 3 and Comcast that has found its way into the news. It’s a good example of the kind of issues that are intended consequences of the Net Neutrality debate. Netflix uses Level 3 to deliver its videos to customers. It pays Level 3 for bandwidth. If you are a Comcast customer, you pay Comcast for bandwidth. In theory Level 3 is getting paid and Comcast is getting paid and everything should be fine. However, in order for your Netflix movie to arrive at your Comcast-connected home, the bits have to pass from Level 3 to Comcast. If you’re Comcast, this is an excellent place to put a tollbooth.

        Up to now, Level 3 and Comcast have had an arrangement that allowed each company to send bits bidirectionally. The arrangement was made back when both companies sent about the same amount of bits to each other. But now that Level 3 is sending more bits through Comcast than Comcast is sending through Level 3, Comcast wants to be paid. This is the nature of the current battle in its simplest terms. But, like I said, it’s a smoke screen.

        Net Neutrality Defined

        On September 21, 2009, Communications Commission (FCC) Chairman Julius Genachowski outlined the concrete actions he believed the Commission would have to take to preserve a free and open Internet. He said, “The Internet is an extraordinary platform for innovation, job creation, investment, and opportunity. It has unleashed the potential of entrepreneurs and enabled the launch and growth of small businesses across America. It is vital that we safeguard the free and open Internet.”

        The commissioner presented six principles that we might use to craft these new rules:

        1) Consumers are entitled to access whatever lawful Internet content they want.

        2) Consumers are entitled to run whatever applications and services they want, subject to the needs of law enforcement.

        3) Consumers can connect to networks whatever legal devices they want, so long as they do not harm them.

        4) Consumers are entitled to competition between networks, applications, services and content providers.

        5) Service providers are not allowed to discriminate between applications, services and content outside of reasonable network management.

        6) Service providers must be transparent about the network management practices they use.

        This week the Chairman spun his position a bit. He is now in favor of bandwidth metering to allow Internet service providers to charge based upon actual usage (a “pay for what you actually use” as opposed to an “all you can eat” model).

        The cliché description for the public Internet (courtesy of Al Gore) is the “Information Superhighway.” It’s a reasonable metaphor for the way information travels around the Internet. Even engineers like to call bunches of bits getting from place to place, “traffic.”

        In the physical travel world, you can get from place to place several different ways. You can walk, ride a bike, take a car, take a bus, take a train or fly. Of course, while some places are only accessible by air, we all know that remote locations very often require us to use multiple modes of transportation. Now, imagine that people are bits.

        The physical transportation world also has a fairly well defined class structure. It is segmented with modes of travel that efficiently meet the needs of each constituency – and it is economically segregated. You are about as likely to find an Upper Eastside Socialite in the lounge at the Port Authority bus terminal waiting for a bus to South Carolina, as you are to find a single mother of six on welfare in the Admiral’s Club at JFK Terminal 8 waiting for her first class seat to the Vineyard. It happens, but not often. Most of the time, modes of travel: air, train, bus, car, bike, feet, are a function of economic class, means and emergent need. So, to keep the metaphor going, imagine that Comcast is Cathay Pacific Airlines and Time Warner Cable’s basic broadband service is Amtrak and Verizon’s low-end DSL service is Greyhound.

        How would we expect the economic landscape to look in a world where, instead of one Information Superhighway, we’d have web of public and privately owned Information Super Toll Roads? Would we expect people who could only afford Greyhound bus service to do business with companies in Europe or Asia? Would we expect people who could only afford Amtrak train service to compete with people who could deliver merchandise overnight via air? Would organizations that own toll roads make it just a little too expensive to compete with them? Would organizations that own airlines charge competitors for extra bags and bigger seats? Keep asking travel questions, they all apply!

        It is hard to be optimistic about a future world where there is a low-powered free and open Internet and a web of private toll roads owned by non-governmental organizations that inherently compete with their customers. The specter of such a world bodes ill for innovation, entrepreneurship and, in some ways, even the doing of digital life.

        This line of thinking begs for the question: Will a plurality of Internet under-classes evolve? Want a current day analog? Look at the prepaid mobile phone business. It’s huge, and so unstructured that even the service providers don’t know who is using their products or how they are using them.

        Back in the day, phone companies charged us for making calls, but receiving a call was free. This was a function of technology, not desire. As soon as cell phones hit the market, we started paying for time used (bandwidth) both coming and going. What’s happening with Net Neutrality is a fight over exactly the same issue. Now, we pay for the bandwidth we use on one end. If this goes the wrong way, we (you and I) will pay for bandwidth both coming and going. On a personal level, this is not onerous. However, at the enterprise level, if we were to govern America for the best possible GDP (as opposed to governing for corporate profits) it has the potential to be a huge problem.

        I am NOT advocating any government involvement with the Internet. I think government has proven that it has no business being in any business. However, this is not a debate you can leave to others. Get your elected officials on the phone. Take a few minutes to learn about the issue. This is the moment that we have to step up and become architects of our digital future. Become part of the solution … America needs you! Shelly Palmer

          The Complete Myth of Local Advertising

          Harry called me today. He’s become a loyal viewer of Live Digital, my weekly television show, and he figured he’d email me and ask me if I could send him info about web marketing for his carpet and floor covering company. I wasn’t sure quite what to send him, so we set up a call.

          After pleasantries were exchanged, Harry cut to the chase, “Can you get my website to the frontpage of Google?” Really, this is an exact quote. “… the frontpage of Google?” What Harry wanted was obvious, but his choice of words betrayed anything other than superficial knowledge of what he wanted from me.

          To be polite, I suggested that before he did the SEO and SEM necessary to accomplish his goals on Google, he might want to think about what his business goals were. He told me that his website was created for him for free by a company that now wants to charge him money, but he thinks they are asking too much.

          I told him I thought his website was worth exactly what he paid for it and suggested that he take it down and put up a nice splash page with some pictures of carpeting, the locations of his stores with links to Google maps and his phone number. Then he asked me, “Will that get me to the frontpage of Google?”

          At this point I was fascinated with the conversation, so I went into my standard explanation about business goals like, selling more carpet and floor covering. I spoke about conversion metrics and how he might measure the success of his web marketing efforts. Driving foot traffic over the doors of his two retail locations, etc.

          “How much will this cost?” asked Harry. I answered, “It won’t cost you anything, it will make you money.” Harry did not understand. We discussed the investment he would need to make in a comprehensive marketing plan for his business and spoke about workflow, execution and the differences between advertising, marketing, sales and public relations. After a ten-minute lesson in 21st century retail marketing, Harry asked me, “Will that get me to the frontpage of Google?”

          Finally, I asked him how much he thought he should spend to create a website that would increase his business? “I don’t know,” he answered. “The one I have was free.”

          When I reiterated that his free website was probably hurting his retail business rather than helping it, he asked me for some free suggestions that he could implement for free that would … yep, you guessed it … get him to the frontpage of Google.

          This is a real conversation that actually took place, I’ve changed the owner’s name, but other than that, this is exactly how it went. Let’s review:

          • A retailer with two doors, one in Manhattan and one in Brooklyn.
          • A website that was created for him as a promotion by a template-using website company with the hopes that he would eventually pay.
          • A business owner with absolutely no clue how advertising, marketing, sales and PR work in the 21st century for local retail businesses in his vertical.
          • A business owner with zero aptitude and zero headcount to implement even the simplest technological solution.

          This week, I have seen about 20 pitches from companies offering hyper-local and location-based solutions targeting local advertisers. Next week I will probably see 10 more. Hasn’t anyone spoken to Harry?

          There is no incremental local retail advertising to be had. The money simply isn’t there. If a local company is big enough advertise, it is already doing it. If it is not big enough to advertise — there’s a reason. The myth of local advertising is that it exists at all. It simply does not.

          There is no version of the world where Harry’s business is worth going after, or taking. He will require three times the amount of customer handholding that a customer three times his size would require. He will never spend enough to justify speaking to him. He will torture you for every dollar he is asked to spend, because of how hard he has to personally work to make the dollar in the first place. Harry is a real person with a real business … but he is not a growth opportunity for a technology-driven hyper-local advertising business. Harry is not a growth opportunity for anyone — not even for himself.

          You can’t go door-to-door to find lots of Harrys. You can’t afford the customer service. You can’t expect him to use a dashboard without training. It will cost you so much money to acquire Harry as a customer, you could never get an ROI on the customer acquisition cost.

          Next time someone brings you a new business model and talks about local advertising as the market, look up a local carpet and floor covering retailer with a couple of doors and $1.5 to $2 million in gross sales. Ask the proprietor about how you can help him, and don’t be surprised if he asks you if your technology can “get him on the frontpage of Google.”